Definitive Analysis
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10-Year Dividend History & Industry Comparison
Fiscal Year 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
TSLA Div/Share $0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000$0.0000
TSLA Yield 0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%0.0000%
TSLA DPS Growth 0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CAGR (5Y / 10Y) TSLA: 0.00% (5Y) / 0.00% (10Y)
Gordon Growth Model (Stable Stage)
MetricRangeSelected
Long-term Growth Rate 3.00% Fixed 3.00%
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.68% - 6.81% 7.75%
Calculated Fair Value $32.35 - $55.77 $42.32
Current Price$455.00
Margin of Safety30.00%
Target Buy Price$45.68
DecisionHold / Sell
Detailed Calculation (USD Millions)
Net Income (LTM) 7,130
(-) Dividends Paid 0
ConservativeBase CaseAggressive
Required Retention % 20.00% 12.50% 7.50%
Excess Cash (Calculated) $5,704 $6,239 $6,595
Excess Per Share 1.78 1.95 2.06
LTM Dividend/Share 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adjusted Dividend Base 1.78 1.95 2.06
Sensitivity Analysis (Price vs Inputs)
X-Axis: Discount Rate | Y-Axis: Terminal Growth
G \ WACC 5.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%
1.00%$49.27$39.42$32.85$28.16$24.64
2.00%$66.35$49.76$39.81$33.17$28.44
3.00%$100.50$67.00$50.25$40.20$33.50
4.00%$202.95$101.47$67.65$50.74$40.59
5.00%$407.85$204.90$102.45$68.30$51.23
Multi-Stage Model (5-Year Projection)
Metric Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Terminal
Net Income Growth 20.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%20.00% 3.00%
Payout Ratio 18.50%37.00%55.50%74.00%92.50% 92.50%
Projected Dividends (M) 1,5833,7996,83810,94116,411 16,903

Valuation SummaryLOWBASEHIGH
PV of Dividends (1-5) 8.97 9.27 9.58
PV of Terminal Value 63.24 78.94 102.82
Fair Value Per Share 72.20 88.20 112.40
Current Price $455.00