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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

ID: 000596.SZ SECTOR: Consumer Defensive INDUSTRY: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
105.27
-0.73 (-0.69%)
Ref: 2026-04-21

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $388.24 - $1,016.58 $582.04
Multi-Stage DDM $153.63 - $167.92 $160.65
Blended Fair Value $371.34
Stock Price$103.48

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 4.5283.0032.2121.4721.5011.5001.0010.6000.1000.200
YoY % 50.80%35.73%50.29%-1.95%0.09%49.83%66.93%498.78%-49.89%-43.11%
Yield 4.38%2.90%2.14%1.42%1.45%1.45%0.97%0.58%0.10%0.19%

CAGRValue
5 Year24.73%
10 Year29.13%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $388.24 - $1,016.58 $582.04

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 807.39 807.39 807.39
(=) Cash Required 161.48 100.92 60.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share 8.35 9.14 9.66
LTM Dividend per Share 4.528 4.528 4.528
(=) Adjusted Dividend 12.880 13.663 14.185

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 807.39 859.88915.77975.291,038.691,106.20
Projected Dividends 350.17 214.97375.46555.92758.24995.58

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 203.97 205.90 207.84
Year 2 PV 323.77 329.94 336.16
Year 3 PV 435.66 448.17 460.91
Year 4 PV 540.04 560.81 582.17
Year 5 PV 644.42 675.55 707.87
TV PV 9,733.49 10,203.62 10,691.75
Equity Value 11,881.36 12,423.99 12,986.69
Fair Value $153.63 $160.65 $167.92

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