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Northeast Securities Co., Ltd.

ID: 000686.SZ SECTOR: Financial Services INDUSTRY: Financial - Capital Markets
8.25
-0.06 (-0.72%)
Ref: 2026-04-21

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $2.29 - $2.98 $2.64
Multi-Stage DDM $3.01 - $3.32 $3.16
Blended Fair Value $2.90
Stock Price$8.27

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.0990.4440.4590.5150.5590.5330.5180.5880.2270.074
YoY % -77.66%-3.34%-10.86%-7.83%4.86%2.88%-11.95%158.86%208.04%-35.29%
Yield 1.20%5.37%5.55%6.23%6.76%6.44%6.26%7.11%2.75%0.89%

CAGRValue
5 Year-28.57%
10 Year-1.39%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -7.05% to -5.05% -6.05%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $2.29 - $2.98 $2.64

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 127.85 127.85 127.85
(=) Cash Required 25.57 15.98 9.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.30 0.32 0.34
LTM Dividend per Share 0.099 0.099 0.099
(=) Adjusted Dividend 0.395 0.423 0.441

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 127.85 120.12112.85106.0299.6193.59
Projected Dividends 34.25 30.0346.2760.4372.7284.23

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 28.46 28.76 29.07
Year 2 PV 39.80 40.66 41.53
Year 3 PV 47.18 48.72 50.29
Year 4 PV 51.53 53.78 56.11
Year 5 PV 54.17 57.15 60.26
TV PV 818.27 863.24 910.17
Equity Value 1,039.40 1,092.32 1,147.43
Fair Value $3.01 $3.16 $3.32

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DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%