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GF Securities Co., Ltd.

ID: 000776.SZ SECTOR: Financial Services INDUSTRY: Financial - Capital Markets
19.88
-0.25 (-1.24%)
Ref: 2026-04-21

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $25.11 - $34.61 $29.56
Multi-Stage DDM $18.27 - $20.07 $19.15
Blended Fair Value $24.35
Stock Price$18.87

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 1.2100.5610.4331.2851.0710.9550.8070.9980.9181.456
YoY % 115.66%29.77%-66.35%20.04%12.14%18.29%-19.15%8.79%-36.95%153.78%
Yield 6.41%2.97%2.29%6.81%5.67%5.06%4.28%5.29%4.86%7.71%

CAGRValue
5 Year4.86%
10 Year7.76%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -1.06% to 0.94% -0.06%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $25.11 - $34.61 $29.56

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 2,005.08 2,005.08 2,005.08
(=) Cash Required 401.02 250.64 150.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share 1.34 1.47 1.55
LTM Dividend per Share 1.210 1.210 1.210
(=) Adjusted Dividend 2.554 2.680 2.764

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 2,005.08 2,003.822,002.552,001.292,000.021,998.76
Projected Dividends 1,444.73 500.95821.051,140.731,460.021,798.88

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 475.03 479.83 484.63
Year 2 PV 707.12 721.49 736.00
Year 3 PV 892.31 919.64 947.52
Year 4 PV 1,037.28 1,079.85 1,123.73
Year 5 PV 1,160.77 1,220.63 1,282.93
TV PV 17,532.45 18,436.59 19,377.64
Equity Value 21,804.95 22,858.02 23,952.45
Fair Value $18.27 $19.15 $20.07

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ARDC ARDC 19.91% $2.65 77.10%
JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%