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Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd

ID: 002461.SZ SECTOR: Consumer Defensive INDUSTRY: Beverages - Alcoholic
9.74
-0.18 (-1.81%)
Ref: 2026-04-24

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $13.17 - $29.76 $18.85
Multi-Stage DDM $5.91 - $6.46 $6.18
Blended Fair Value $12.52
Stock Price$9.91

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.1710.1300.1280.1300.1300.1090.1160.0520.0320.025
YoY % 31.55%1.26%-1.25%-0.19%19.95%-6.71%125.36%60.00%27.09%-4.92%
Yield 1.72%1.31%1.29%1.31%1.31%1.09%1.17%0.52%0.33%0.26%

CAGRValue
5 Year9.51%
10 Year20.40%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.02% to 7.02% 6.02%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $13.17 - $29.76 $18.85

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 132.12 132.12 132.12
(=) Cash Required 26.42 16.51 9.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.33 0.36 0.38
LTM Dividend per Share 0.171 0.171 0.171
(=) Adjusted Dividend 0.499 0.530 0.550

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 132.12 140.07148.51157.45166.93176.98
Projected Dividends 55.06 35.0260.8989.75121.86159.29

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 33.22 33.54 33.86
Year 2 PV 52.50 53.50 54.52
Year 3 PV 70.32 72.35 74.42
Year 4 PV 86.78 90.13 93.58
Year 5 PV 103.08 108.08 113.28
TV PV 1,556.95 1,632.50 1,710.96
Equity Value 1,902.86 1,990.11 2,080.61
Fair Value $5.91 $6.18 $6.46

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JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%