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Shenyang Cuihua Gold and Silver Jewelry Co., Ltd.

ID: 002731.SZ SECTOR: Consumer Cyclical INDUSTRY: Luxury Goods
5.62
-0.30 (-5.07%)
Ref: 2026-04-23

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $33.24 - $86.60 $49.68
Multi-Stage DDM $12.45 - $13.61 $13.02
Blended Fair Value $31.35
Stock Price$7.16

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.4260.2870.2500.2700.2630.3700.3430.2740.2520.231
YoY % 48.15%14.81%-7.09%2.39%-28.89%7.98%25.29%8.39%9.05%14.00%
Yield 5.95%4.02%3.50%3.76%3.68%5.17%4.79%3.82%3.53%3.23%

CAGRValue
5 Year2.85%
10 Year7.69%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $33.24 - $86.60 $49.68

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 31.71 31.71 31.71
(=) Cash Required 6.34 3.96 2.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.68 0.74 0.78
LTM Dividend per Share 0.426 0.426 0.426
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.103 1.166 1.208

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 31.71 33.7735.9738.3040.7943.45
Projected Dividends 15.97 8.4414.7521.8329.7839.10

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 8.01 8.09 8.16
Year 2 PV 12.72 12.96 13.20
Year 3 PV 17.11 17.60 18.10
Year 4 PV 21.21 22.03 22.86
Year 5 PV 25.31 26.53 27.80
TV PV 382.29 400.75 419.92
Equity Value 466.64 487.96 510.06
Fair Value $12.45 $13.02 $13.61

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RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
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