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China Gas Holdings Limited

ID: 0384.HK SECTOR: Utilities INDUSTRY: Regulated Gas
7.31
-0.02 (-0.27%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $9.92 - $13.73 $11.69
Multi-Stage DDM $6.67 - $7.32 $6.99
Blended Fair Value $9.34
Stock Price$8.19

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.4900.5560.5550.5570.5000.4600.3520.2740.1940.190
YoY % -11.85%0.05%-0.28%11.35%8.73%30.79%28.38%40.98%2.41%61.33%
Yield 5.98%6.78%6.78%6.80%6.11%5.62%4.29%3.35%2.37%2.32%

CAGRValue
5 Year1.26%
10 Year15.33%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -0.73% to 1.27% 0.27%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $9.92 - $13.73 $11.69

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 417.80 417.80 417.80
(=) Cash Required 83.56 52.22 31.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.48 0.53 0.56
LTM Dividend per Share 0.490 0.490 0.490
(=) Adjusted Dividend 0.973 1.018 1.048

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 417.80 418.91420.03421.15422.27423.39
Projected Dividends 338.93 104.73172.21240.05308.25381.05

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 99.31 100.31 101.31
Year 2 PV 148.33 151.33 154.36
Year 3 PV 187.79 193.53 199.37
Year 4 PV 219.03 227.99 237.22
Year 5 PV 245.92 258.56 271.72
TV PV 3,714.46 3,905.36 4,104.03
Equity Value 4,614.84 4,837.08 5,068.02
Fair Value $6.67 $6.99 $7.32

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DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
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CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%