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Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Company Limited

ID: 600020.SS SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Industrial - Infrastructure Operations
3.78
+0.00 (0.00%)
Ref: 2026-04-14
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $11.30 - $16.46 $13.55
Multi-Stage DDM $4.10 - $4.50 $4.29
Blended Fair Value $8.92
Stock Price$4.05

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.5730.5920.7030.7150.7630.8841.0980.7180.9500.844
YoY % -3.16%-15.72%-1.78%-6.31%-13.64%-19.51%52.99%-24.45%12.55%17.84%
Yield 14.16%14.62%17.35%17.66%18.85%21.83%27.12%17.72%23.46%20.84%

CAGRValue
5 Year-8.29%
10 Year-2.20%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 1.45% to 3.45% 2.45%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $11.30 - $16.46 $13.55

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 120.58 120.58 120.58
(=) Cash Required 24.12 15.07 9.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.27 0.29 0.31
LTM Dividend per Share 0.573 0.573 0.573
(=) Adjusted Dividend 0.842 0.867 0.883

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 120.58 123.53126.55129.65132.82136.07
Projected Dividends 206.26 30.8851.8973.9096.96122.46

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 29.29 29.58 29.87
Year 2 PV 44.71 45.59 46.49
Year 3 PV 57.85 59.58 61.34
Year 4 PV 68.95 71.71 74.55
Year 5 PV 79.12 83.09 87.23
TV PV 1,195.00 1,255.07 1,317.53
Equity Value 1,474.91 1,544.62 1,617.01
Fair Value $4.10 $4.29 $4.50

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JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%