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China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd.

ID: 600036.SS SECTOR: Financial Services INDUSTRY: Banks - Regional
39.87
+0.35 (0.89%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $70.14 - $118.23 $91.17
Multi-Stage DDM $72.68 - $79.63 $76.09
Blended Fair Value $83.63
Stock Price$39.21

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.0002.1931.8581.7301.4061.2721.0060.8880.7400.690
YoY % -100.00%18.03%7.44%23.02%10.51%26.44%13.37%20.00%7.26%2.82%
Yield 0.00%5.59%4.74%4.41%3.59%3.24%2.57%2.26%1.89%1.76%

CAGRValue
5 Year-100.00%
10 Year-100.00%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 2.35% to 4.35% 3.35%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $70.14 - $118.23 $91.17

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 21,977.49 21,977.49 21,977.49
(=) Cash Required 4,395.50 2,747.19 1,648.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share 4.56 4.99 5.27
LTM Dividend per Share 0.000 0.000 0.000
(=) Adjusted Dividend 4.560 4.987 5.272

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 21,977.49 22,712.9823,473.0924,258.6325,070.4725,909.47
Projected Dividends 0.00 5,678.259,623.9713,827.4218,301.4423,318.52

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 5,386.15 5,438.77 5,491.40
Year 2 PV 8,294.09 8,456.96 8,621.41
Year 3 PV 10,826.96 11,147.43 11,474.17
Year 4 PV 13,019.71 13,536.07 14,067.63
Year 5 PV 15,071.90 15,822.74 16,603.22
TV PV 227,648.68 238,989.60 250,778.07
Equity Value 280,247.49 293,391.58 307,035.91
Fair Value $72.68 $76.09 $79.63

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HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
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