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Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.

ID: 600519.SS SECTOR: Consumer Defensive INDUSTRY: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
1,412.01
+1.12 (0.08%)
Ref: 2026-04-21

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $3,305.82 - $8,474.73 $4,891.33
Multi-Stage DDM $1,010.12 - $1,104.09 $1,056.25
Blended Fair Value $2,973.79
Stock Price$1,453.96

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 54.75825.91043.58519.29317.02514.53910.9976.7886.2254.013
YoY % 111.34%-40.55%125.91%13.32%17.10%32.20%62.01%9.05%55.13%10.98%
Yield 3.77%1.78%3.00%1.33%1.17%1.00%0.76%0.47%0.43%0.28%

CAGRValue
5 Year30.37%
10 Year31.23%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $3,305.82 - $8,474.73 $4,891.33

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 12,618.63 12,618.63 12,618.63
(=) Cash Required 2,523.73 1,577.33 946.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share 54.91 60.06 63.49
LTM Dividend per Share 54.758 54.758 54.758
(=) Adjusted Dividend 109.672 114.820 118.252

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 12,618.63 13,438.8414,312.3615,242.6716,233.4417,288.61
Projected Dividends 10,066.27 3,359.715,868.078,688.3211,850.4115,559.75

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 3,187.80 3,218.02 3,248.23
Year 2 PV 5,060.12 5,156.50 5,253.80
Year 3 PV 6,808.92 7,004.38 7,203.54
Year 4 PV 8,440.19 8,764.77 9,098.63
Year 5 PV 10,071.58 10,558.04 11,063.12
TV PV 152,123.02 159,470.61 167,099.42
Equity Value 185,691.63 194,172.33 202,966.75
Fair Value $1,010.12 $1,056.25 $1,104.09

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ARDC ARDC 19.91% $2.65 77.10%
JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%