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Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd.

ID: 603565.SS SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Integrated Freight & Logistics
11.31
-0.14 (-1.22%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $12.19 - $15.96 $14.00
Multi-Stage DDM $8.56 - $9.42 $8.99
Blended Fair Value $11.49
Stock Price$10.98

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.8330.1491.4960.3080.1050.0790.1330.7340.0050.748
YoY % 458.83%-90.03%386.20%191.98%32.68%-40.39%-81.86%14,108.07%-99.31%10,180.20%
Yield 7.59%1.36%13.62%2.80%0.96%0.72%1.21%6.69%0.05%6.81%

CAGRValue
5 Year60.02%
10 Year60.65%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -3.15% to -1.15% -2.15%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $12.19 - $15.96 $14.00

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 251.38 251.38 251.38
(=) Cash Required 50.28 31.42 18.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.70 0.76 0.80
LTM Dividend per Share 0.833 0.833 0.833
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.529 1.594 1.638

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 251.38 245.98240.70235.53230.48225.53
Projected Dividends 240.69 61.5098.69134.25168.25202.98

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 58.30 58.90 59.50
Year 2 PV 84.96 86.72 88.50
Year 3 PV 104.95 108.23 111.59
Year 4 PV 119.43 124.44 129.60
Year 5 PV 130.83 137.73 144.91
TV PV 1,976.13 2,080.28 2,188.77
Equity Value 2,474.60 2,596.30 2,722.88
Fair Value $8.56 $8.99 $9.42

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AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
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JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
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DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%