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Activation Group Holdings Limited

ID: 9919.HK SECTOR: Communication Services INDUSTRY: Advertising Agencies
0.91
+0.00 (0.00%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $0.00 $-5.01
Multi-Stage DDM $-10.09 - $-11.22 $-10.64
Blended Fair Value $-7.82
Stock Price$0.99

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.3000.1500.3002.9980.2000.2000.3500.2000.3000.351
YoY % 100.33%-50.08%-89.99%1,402.64%-0.23%-42.86%75.14%-33.38%-14.42%16.95%
Yield 30.30%15.13%30.30%302.84%20.15%20.20%35.35%20.19%30.30%35.41%

CAGRValue
5 Year8.45%
10 Year0.01%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -15.15% to -13.15% -14.15%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $-4.25 - $-5.66 $-5.01

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income -11.22 -11.22 -11.22
(=) Cash Required -2.24 -1.40 -0.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share -1.51 -1.65 -1.74
LTM Dividend per Share 0.300 0.300 0.300
(=) Adjusted Dividend -1.209 -1.350 -1.445

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income -11.22 -9.63-8.27-7.10-6.09-5.23
Projected Dividends 1.78 -2.41-3.39-4.05-4.45-4.71

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV -2.28 -2.31 -2.33
Year 2 PV -2.91 -2.98 -3.05
Year 3 PV -3.15 -3.26 -3.38
Year 4 PV -3.14 -3.29 -3.45
Year 5 PV -3.01 -3.20 -3.39
TV PV -45.52 -48.26 -51.14
Equity Value -60.01 -63.30 -66.73
Fair Value $-10.09 $-10.64 $-11.22

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