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Churchill Downs Incorporated

ID: CHDN SECTOR: Consumer Cyclical INDUSTRY: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
90.84
-2.07 (-2.23%)
Ref: 2026-04-21

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $141.24 - $383.45 $216.60
Multi-Stage DDM $78.26 - $85.54 $81.83
Blended Fair Value $149.22
Stock Price$87.20

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.4310.3910.3560.3380.3160.2950.2730.2850.2240.189
YoY % 10.21%9.92%5.46%6.74%7.06%8.07%-4.02%27.19%18.19%14.72%
Yield 0.49%0.45%0.41%0.39%0.36%0.34%0.31%0.33%0.26%0.22%

CAGRValue
5 Year7.86%
10 Year10.08%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $141.24 - $383.45 $216.60

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 379.70 379.70 379.70
(=) Cash Required 75.94 47.46 28.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share 4.25 4.65 4.92
LTM Dividend per Share 0.431 0.431 0.431
(=) Adjusted Dividend 4.686 5.085 5.350

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 379.70 404.38430.67458.66488.47520.22
Projected Dividends 30.80 101.10176.57261.44356.58468.20

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 95.92 96.83 97.74
Year 2 PV 152.26 155.16 158.09
Year 3 PV 204.88 210.76 216.76
Year 4 PV 253.97 263.74 273.78
Year 5 PV 303.06 317.70 332.89
TV PV 4,577.45 4,798.54 5,028.09
Equity Value 5,587.54 5,842.73 6,107.36
Fair Value $78.26 $81.83 $85.54

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SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
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GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
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BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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