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HF Sinclair Corporation

ID: DINO SECTOR: Energy INDUSTRY: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
58.56
+1.05 (1.83%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $53.22 - $77.11 $64.07
Multi-Stage DDM $36.35 - $39.88 $38.08
Blended Fair Value $51.08
Stock Price$55.24

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 2.0162.0101.7931.2630.3551.4171.3451.3221.3291.329
YoY % 0.34%12.08%41.92%256.20%-74.96%5.32%1.76%-0.53%0.02%1.68%
Yield 3.65%3.64%3.25%2.29%0.64%2.56%2.44%2.39%2.41%2.41%

CAGRValue
5 Year7.31%
10 Year4.43%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 0.50% to 2.50% 1.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $53.22 - $77.11 $64.07

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 579.00 579.00 579.00
(=) Cash Required 115.80 72.38 43.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share 2.48 2.72 2.87
LTM Dividend per Share 2.016 2.016 2.016
(=) Adjusted Dividend 4.501 4.733 4.889

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 579.00 587.69596.52605.48614.57623.80
Projected Dividends 376.00 146.92244.57345.12448.63561.42

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 139.34 140.73 142.11
Year 2 PV 210.70 214.92 219.17
Year 3 PV 270.09 278.23 286.54
Year 4 PV 318.93 331.82 345.09
Year 5 PV 362.55 380.95 400.09
TV PV 5,476.00 5,753.91 6,042.99
Equity Value 6,777.61 7,100.55 7,435.98
Fair Value $36.35 $38.08 $39.88

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ARDC ARDC 19.91% $2.65 77.10%
JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%