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MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

ID: MSM SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Industrial - Distribution
95.37
-0.11 (-0.12%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $83.44 - $123.76 $101.20
Multi-Stage DDM $43.55 - $47.74 $45.60
Blended Fair Value $73.40
Stock Price$92.36

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 3.3933.3183.1442.9866.4657.9832.6252.2121.7941.732
YoY % 2.26%5.54%5.27%-53.81%-19.01%204.09%18.68%23.28%3.60%-62.53%
Yield 3.67%3.59%3.40%3.23%7.00%8.64%2.84%2.39%1.94%1.88%

CAGRValue
5 Year-15.73%
10 Year-3.05%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 1.41% to 3.41% 2.41%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $83.44 - $123.76 $101.20

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 199.33 199.33 199.33
(=) Cash Required 39.87 24.92 14.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share 2.85 3.12 3.30
LTM Dividend per Share 3.393 3.393 3.393
(=) Adjusted Dividend 6.246 6.513 6.692

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 199.33 204.13209.05214.08219.24224.52
Projected Dividends 189.65 51.0385.71122.03160.04202.07

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 48.40 48.88 49.36
Year 2 PV 73.85 75.32 76.79
Year 3 PV 95.52 98.38 101.29
Year 4 PV 113.81 118.37 123.06
Year 5 PV 130.55 137.11 143.94
TV PV 1,971.81 2,070.96 2,174.07
Equity Value 2,433.95 2,549.02 2,668.51
Fair Value $43.55 $45.60 $47.74

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DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%