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Tractor Supply Company

ID: TSCO SECTOR: Consumer Cyclical INDUSTRY: Specialty Retail
44.81
-0.20 (-0.44%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $62.80 - $132.30 $87.73
Multi-Stage DDM $29.27 - $32.01 $30.61
Blended Fair Value $59.17
Stock Price$44.92

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.9160.8760.8190.7300.4130.2970.2690.2380.2090.183
YoY % 4.66%6.85%12.17%76.99%38.75%10.37%13.11%14.12%14.24%21.28%
Yield 2.04%1.95%1.82%1.63%0.92%0.66%0.60%0.53%0.46%0.41%

CAGRValue
5 Year25.24%
10 Year19.78%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 4.72% to 6.72% 5.72%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $62.80 - $132.30 $87.73

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 1,096.09 1,096.09 1,096.09
(=) Cash Required 219.22 137.01 82.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share 1.65 1.80 1.91
LTM Dividend per Share 0.916 0.916 0.916
(=) Adjusted Dividend 2.564 2.719 2.822

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 1,096.09 1,158.831,225.161,295.281,369.421,447.81
Projected Dividends 487.67 289.71502.31738.31999.681,303.03

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 274.86 277.49 280.11
Year 2 PV 433.09 441.40 449.79
Year 3 PV 578.48 595.21 612.26
Year 4 PV 711.80 739.38 767.75
Year 5 PV 843.14 884.17 926.78
TV PV 12,734.88 13,354.62 13,998.26
Equity Value 15,576.25 16,292.28 17,034.97
Fair Value $29.27 $30.61 $32.01

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ARDC ARDC 19.91% $2.65 77.10%
JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%